Belief Indices
Transparent, versioned probability indices built from Drazill prediction markets. Each index is a volume-capped weighted mean of its constituent markets, with honest gaps and versioned restatements.
Try the Signal API
The Signal API contrasts the crowd probability with a smart-money estimate for a market. Here is a live sample — smart money only appears once enough distinct holders clear the reporting threshold.
Signal not computed yet
This market does not have a computed edge signal yet. Signals appear once there is enough trading activity to model.