An incumbent loses a 2026 House primary?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

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About This Market

Predicts a sitting US Representative being denied renomination this cycle. Resolves YES if any incumbent member of the US House loses a 2026 primary or party convention. Source: AP race calls.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

May 22, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Sep 23, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

An incumbent loses a 2026 House primary?

Market trust

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An incumbent loses a 2026 House primary?

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