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Weather
Volume
$591.8K
Traders
692
Closes
3mo
Hottest month of summer 2026 vs its record?
No summer month sets a record
32¢
July sets a record
26¢
August sets a record
22¢
June sets a record
20¢
All-time Price History
Trade
How many named Atlantic storms in 2026?
Worst-affected 2026 wildfire region?
Hottest month of summer 2026 vs its record?
No summer month sets a record
3
2
¢
Yes
32¢
No
68¢
July sets a record
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
August sets a record
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
June sets a record
2
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
$592K
3mo
Worst-affected 2026 wildfire region?
Canada
3
3
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
US West
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Siberia/Russia
2
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Mediterranean Europe
1
4
¢
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Other
9
¢
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
$569K
5mo
How many named Atlantic storms in 2026?
8 To 11
4
1
¢
Yes
41¢
No
59¢
12 To 14
2
5
¢
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
7 Or Fewer
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
15 Or More
1
2
¢
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
$473K
5mo
2026's rank among hottest years on record?
2nd Warmest
4
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
Warmest (1st)
3
4
¢
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
3rd Warmest
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
4th Or Lower
8
¢
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
$450K
7mo
El Nino declared by Sept 30, 2026?
7
5
¢
2
5
¢
Yes
75¢
No
25¢
$446K
3mo
+3.5%
Spd
4¢
Hottest continent-scale event of summer 2026?
Southern Europe
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
South/Southeast Asia
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
US Southwest
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Middle East/Gulf
1
4
¢
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Other
8
¢
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
$392K
3mo
Solar PV hits 10% of global generation in 2026?
6
6
¢
3
4
¢
Yes
66¢
No
34¢
$388K
10mo
-0.4%
Spd
4¢
Named storms in the 2026 Atlantic season?
8 To 11
3
8
¢
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
12 To 14
2
7
¢
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
7 Or Fewer
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
15 Or More
1
7
¢
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
$364K
5mo
Record global ocean heat content in 2026?
7
3
¢
2
7
¢
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
$339K
7mo
+4.1%
Spd
4¢
2026 hottest year on record?
4
2
¢
5
8
¢
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
$211K
7mo
-6.9%
Spd
4¢
Super El Nino to develop in 2026?
4
7
¢
5
3
¢
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
$190K
6mo
+3.8%
Spd
4¢
China EVs above 50% of new cars in 2026?
7
3
¢
2
7
¢
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
$183K
10mo
-17.3%
Spd
4¢
How many major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
2 To 3
3
9
¢
Yes
39¢
No
61¢
1
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
0
1
7
¢
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
4 Or More
1
4
¢
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
$166K
5mo
Category 5 Atlantic hurricane in 2026?
2
9
¢
7
1
¢
Yes
29¢
No
71¢
$172K
5mo
+25.6%
Spd
4¢
6+ hurricanes in the 2026 Atlantic season?
4
4
¢
5
6
¢
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
$166K
5mo
+6.9%
Spd
4¢
Any US city tops 50C in summer 2026?
2
0
¢
8
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
$167K
3mo
+0.9%
Spd
4¢
El Nino confirmed by NOAA in summer 2026?
8
0
¢
2
0
¢
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
$163K
3mo
+30.4%
Spd
4¢
Below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
5
1
¢
4
9
¢
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
$159K
5mo
+0.6%
Spd
4¢
2026 Arctic sea-ice minimum rank?
2nd 3rd Lowest
3
3
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
4th 6th Lowest
2
7
¢
Yes
27¢
No
73¢
Record low
2
5
¢
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
Outside 6 lowest
1
5
¢
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
$136K
4mo
2026's rank in the global temperature record?
2nd Warmest
4
7
¢
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
Warmest on record
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
3rd Warmest
2
1
¢
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
4th Or Lower
1
0
¢
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
$129K
7mo
1-in-4 new cars electric in 2026?
6
1
¢
3
9
¢
Yes
61¢
No
39¢
$127K
10mo
+3.8%
Spd
4¢
Global temps stay above 1.5C June-Aug 2026?
5
6
¢
4
4
¢
Yes
56¢
No
44¢
$125K
3mo
-9.5%
Spd
4¢
Region with most named-storm landfalls in 2026?
US Gulf / East Coast
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Western Pacific (Asia)
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Caribbean / Mexico
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Other
1
2
¢
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
$88K
5mo
2026 hurricane season ACE below normal?
5
9
¢
4
1
¢
Yes
59¢
No
41¢
$96K
5mo
-2.3%
Any 2026 month above 1.5C vs pre-industrial?
6
7
¢
3
3
¢
Yes
67¢
No
33¢
$87K
6mo
+28.8%
How strong does the 2026-27 El Nino get?
Moderate (1.0-1.4)
3
3
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Strong (1.5-1.9)
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Weak (0.5-0.9)
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Very strong / super (2.0+)
1
7
¢
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
$61K
8mo
CO2 above 430 ppm in 2026?
6
5
¢
3
5
¢
Yes
65¢
No
35¢
$72K
6mo
+10.7%
Canada 2026 wildfires top 5M hectares?
5
6
¢
4
4
¢
Yes
56¢
No
44¢
$68K
5mo
+14.8%
When is 2026's first US hurricane landfall?
August
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
September
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
By July 31
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
October or later
1
3
¢
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
No US hurricane landfall
5
¢
Yes
5¢
No
95¢
$41K
5mo
Toronto hits 35C+ this summer?
5
0
¢
5
0
¢
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
$55K
2mo
-10.4%
2026 storm retired as a Pacific 'super typhoon'?
6
8
¢
3
2
¢
Yes
68¢
No
32¢
$55K
6mo
+15.0%
