CO2 above 430 ppm in 2026?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

Whether the Mauna Loa Observatory records a monthly mean CO2 concentration above 430 ppm during 2026. Resolves YES if any 2026 monthly mean exceeds 430.0 ppm. Source: NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory (Keeling Curve).

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

May 16, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Jan 1, 2027, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

CO2 above 430 ppm in 2026?

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CO2 above 430 ppm in 2026?

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