GOP loses its House majority before 2026 vote?

Market trust

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Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

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About This Market

Predicts whether Republicans lose effective control of the House via vacancies or defections before the November 2026 election. Resolves YES if Democrats hold an operative House majority at any point before Nov 3, 2026. Source: AP, House records.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

May 25, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Nov 11, 2026, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

GOP loses its House majority before 2026 vote?

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GOP loses its House majority before 2026 vote?

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