How strong does the 2026-27 El Nino get?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

Outcome

Chance

Trade

About This Market

ECMWF has signaled a strong, even 'super', El Nino building into winter. Resolves to the peak Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) tier reached during the 2026-27 event. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center ONI.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 1, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Mar 12, 2027, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

How strong does the 2026-27 El Nino get?

Market trust

About This Market

Related Markets

How strong does the 2026-27 El Nino get?

Market trust

About This Market

Weak (0.5-0.9)

Related Markets

Weak (0.5-0.9)