NASA confirms 2024 YR4 misses the Moon?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
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Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

After 2024 YR4's 2032 lunar-impact odds spiked, February 2026 JWST data was used to recompute its path. Resolves YES if NASA's official position remains that 2024 YR4 will not impact the Moon in 2032 through year-end 2026. Source: NASA CNEOS.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

May 17, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Jan 8, 2027, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

NASA confirms 2024 YR4 misses the Moon?

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NASA confirms 2024 YR4 misses the Moon?

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