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31%chance
Pyongyang has deepened ties with Russia and China amid regional tension. Resolves YES if North Korea conducts a confirmed underground nuclear-weapon test before Dec 31, 2026. Source: CTBTO / South Korea Defense Ministry.
Anyone have insights on the resolution criteria?
Sold my position. Taking profits while I can.
What's everyone's thesis here? I'm undecided.
Been trading prediction markets for years. This is one of the clearest opportunities I've seen.
This is my largest position. Very confident.