Republicans win the CA-01 special?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

Predicts the August 4, 2026 special election for Doug LaMalfa's vacated Northern California House seat. Resolves YES if the Republican candidate wins the seat. Source: California Secretary of State.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 2, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Aug 12, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

Republicans win the CA-01 special?

Market trust

About This Market

Related Markets

Republicans win the CA-01 special?

Market trust

About This Market