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Starship completes orbital flight by Aug '26?
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Market trust
Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot ReadyManual source - last checked Not checked yet
Market trust
Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot ReadyManual source - last checked Not checked yet
- Trust score
- In review
- Source type
- Manual
- Provider health
- Manual Review
- Criteria quality
- Warn
- Market data quality
- Review
- Public evidence state
- Not Ready
- Chart data provenance
- Drazill Market Data
- Price history freshness
- Fresh
- Last source check
- Not checked yet
Trust methodology
Formula: market-trust-v1.0
Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records
Confidence: MEDIUM
Informational only, not trading advice.
- - Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- - Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.
51%
Yes
@ $0.51
49%
No
@ $0.49
Market open
May 30, 2026, 06:41 p.m.
Market closes
Oct 27, 2026, 06:41 p.m.
Projected payout
After market closes
About This Market
Full orbit with booster and ship recovery. Resolves YES if a SpaceX Starship vehicle completes a full orbital trajectory and both booster and ship are recovered successfully before Sep 1, 2026. Source: SpaceX official updates and FAA records