70%chance
Will the Carney government successfully pass a federal budget through the House of Commons in 2026. Resolves YES if a 2026 budget receives Commons approval by Dec 31, 2026. Source: Parliament of Canada.
I think people are overreacting. This won't happen.
This is going to move hard when people wake up to this.
Been trading prediction markets for years. This is one of the clearest opportunities I've seen.
This is my largest position. Very confident.
Been trading prediction markets for years. This is one of the clearest opportunities I've seen.
Disagree with the current pricing. Here's why...