Demo mode: simulated data, for showcase onlyDemo mode: simulated data, for showcase onlyDemo mode: simulated data, for showcase only
76%chance
Predicts whether Republicans avoid a closely divided or lost House in 2026. Resolves YES if Republicans hold at least 223 seats (a 5+ seat majority) after the November 3, 2026 elections. Source: AP race calls.
The fundamentals support a higher probability here.
This probability seems too optimistic to me.
Does anyone have a source for the resolution criteria?
This is looking bullish! The momentum is definitely there.
The volume on this market has been insane lately.