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US Elections
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US Elections
Primaries
Congress
House
SCOTUS & Courts
International
Europe
UK
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Local
US Politics
Volume
$636.9K
Traders
1,733
Closes
2mo
Government shutdown before October?
Yes
6
5
¢
No
3
5
¢
All-time Price History
YES
-35.4%
Trade
Top issue in the 2026 midterms?
Republicans hold the Senate in 2026?
Government shutdown before October?
6
5
¢
3
5
¢
Yes
65¢
No
35¢
$637K
2mo
-23.9%
Spd
4¢
Republicans hold the Senate in 2026?
5
0
¢
5
0
¢
Yes
50¢
No
50¢
$520K
5mo
-1.2%
Spd
4¢
Top issue in the 2026 midterms?
Something else
3
4
¢
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
The Iran war / foreign policy
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Healthcare
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Economy / inflation
1
6
¢
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Immigration
6
¢
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
$486K
3mo
New Trump impeachment vote in 2026?
1
3
¢
8
7
¢
Yes
13¢
No
87¢
$187K
6mo
+14.1%
Spd
4¢
2026 generic ballot on Election Day?
D+4 to D+8
3
4
¢
Yes
34¢
No
66¢
D+8 or more
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
D+0 to D+4
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
R Leaning (r+0 Or More)
1
4
¢
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
$168K
5mo
Democrats' net Senate seats in 2026?
Dems gain 1 to 2
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Dems lose 1+
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
No net change
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Dems gain 3+
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
$147K
5mo
Congress control after the midterms?
Dem House, GOP Senate
4
2
¢
Yes
42¢
No
58¢
GOP House and Senate
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Dem House and Senate
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
GOP House, Dem Senate
8
¢
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
$144K
5mo
Trump net approval above -10 by Labor Day?
2
1
¢
7
9
¢
Yes
21¢
No
79¢
$156K
3mo
+0.1%
Spd
4¢
GOP loses House popular vote by 5+?
5
7
¢
4
3
¢
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
$152K
5mo
-34.2%
Spd
4¢
GOP redistricting fight reaches SCOTUS?
6
3
¢
3
7
¢
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
$151K
4mo
-21.4%
Spd
4¢
Democrats win the House in 2026?
6
3
¢
3
7
¢
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
$140K
5mo
-5.4%
Spd
4¢
Another Trump cabinet exit before 2027?
7
3
¢
2
7
¢
Yes
73¢
No
27¢
$109K
6mo
+5.6%
Net governorships after 2026?
24 to 26 Democratic
4
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
27 or more Democratic
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
23 or fewer Democratic
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
$88K
5mo
Democrats gain 25+ House seats in 2026?
4
8
¢
5
2
¢
Yes
48¢
No
52¢
$89K
5mo
+2.1%
GOP keeps a 5+ seat House majority?
2
3
¢
7
7
¢
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
$85K
5mo
-4.1%
A 2026 Senate race under 1 point?
7
5
¢
2
5
¢
Yes
75¢
No
25¢
$70K
5mo
+5.1%
Trump approval below 45% all of 2026?
8
0
¢
2
0
¢
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
$50K
6mo
-1.6%
Midterm turnout tops 110 million?
4
9
¢
5
1
¢
Yes
49¢
No
51¢
$48K
5mo
+31.1%
This is a test market
5
1
¢
5
0
¢
Yes
51¢
No
50¢
$31K
17d 23h
+4.6%