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European Politics
Volume
$537.4K
Traders
1,170
Closes
6mo
Europe's biggest 2026 political shake-up?
France govt collapse
30¢
Hungary transition (Tisza)
25¢
German coalition crisis
20¢
Other country
15¢
No major change
10¢
All-time Price History
Other country
-9.4%
Hungary transition (Tisza)
+12.5%
German coalition crisis
-18.3%
France govt collapse
+12.3%
No major change
+1.5%
Trade
Merz German Chancellor through 2026?
Macron French president through 2026?
Europe's biggest 2026 political shake-up?
France govt collapse
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Hungary transition (Tisza)
2
5
¢
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
German coalition crisis
2
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
Other country
1
5
¢
Yes
15¢
No
85¢
No major change
1
0
¢
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
$537K
6mo
Macron French president through 2026?
8
3
¢
1
7
¢
Yes
83¢
No
17¢
$531K
6mo
+11.1%
Spd
4¢
Merz German Chancellor through 2026?
8
2
¢
1
8
¢
Yes
82¢
No
18¢
$439K
6mo
-1.0%
Spd
4¢
Who leads France's next national poll?
Rassemblement National
3
8
¢
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Left bloc (NFP)
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Macron's centrists
1
6
¢
Yes
16¢
No
84¢
Les Republicains
1
0
¢
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
Other
1
0
¢
Yes
10¢
No
90¢
$345K
1mo
AfD leads a German poll in 2026?
6
3
¢
3
7
¢
Yes
63¢
No
37¢
$172K
6mo
-23.6%
Spd
4¢
Tusk government survives through 2026?
6
7
¢
3
3
¢
Yes
67¢
No
33¢
$169K
6mo
-5.6%
Spd
4¢
EU adopts 2040 climate law in 2026?
5
5
¢
4
5
¢
Yes
55¢
No
45¢
$165K
6mo
-2.3%
Spd
4¢
EU-Ukraine accession milestone in 2026?
5
1
¢
4
9
¢
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
$134K
6mo
-7.0%
Spd
4¢
Sanchez calls an early election in 2026?
3
5
¢
6
5
¢
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
$126K
6mo
-13.5%
Spd
4¢
Hungary regains EU rule-of-law funds?
6
5
¢
3
5
¢
Yes
65¢
No
35¢
$123K
6mo
+1.3%
Spd
4¢
Chega wins Portugal's presidency?
2
0
¢
8
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
$120K
5mo
+11.4%
Spd
4¢
Any country exits EU or eurozone in 2026?
8
¢
9
2
¢
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
$120K
6mo
+21.6%
Spd
4¢
France government collapse in 2026?
5
3
¢
4
7
¢
Yes
53¢
No
47¢
$116K
6mo
+15.0%
EU agrees joint defence borrowing in 2026?
4
6
¢
5
4
¢
Yes
46¢
No
54¢
$95K
6mo
+28.6%
EU passes new Russia sanctions in 2026?
8
0
¢
2
0
¢
Yes
80¢
No
20¢
$94K
6mo
+0.2%
Portugal's 2026 presidential winner?
Centre Right / Right
4
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
Centre Left (ps Aligned)
3
1
¢
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
Far Right (chega)
1
8
¢
Yes
18¢
No
82¢
Other / independent
1
1
¢
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
$54K
5mo
Von der Leyen survives 2026 confidence vote?
8
3
¢
1
7
¢
Yes
83¢
No
17¢
$50K
6mo
+32.9%
