Skip to content
Markets
Portfolio
Alerts
Sign in
Trending
New
All
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Economics
Companies
Climate
Tech & Science
World
Media
Trending
New
All
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Economics
Companies
Climate
Tech & Science
World
Media
Markets
All Politics
US Elections
Primaries
Congress
House
SCOTUS & Courts
International
Europe
UK
Canada
Local
Politics
/
International
All
US Elections
Primaries
Congress
House
SCOTUS & Courts
International
Europe
UK
Canada
Local
World Politics
Volume
$713.0K
Traders
1,307
Closes
3mo
Strait of Hormuz reopened by Sept?
Yes
5
4
¢
No
4
6
¢
All-time Price History
YES
+0.2%
Trade
Which conflict gets a 2026 ceasefire first?
Global oil supply disrupted through July?
Strait of Hormuz reopened by Sept?
5
4
¢
4
6
¢
Yes
54¢
No
46¢
$713K
3mo
-28.5%
Spd
4¢
Global oil supply disrupted through July?
6
1
¢
3
9
¢
Yes
61¢
No
39¢
$444K
1mo
-2.7%
Spd
4¢
Which conflict gets a 2026 ceasefire first?
Neither in 2026
3
7
¢
Yes
37¢
No
63¢
Us Iran First
3
3
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Russia Ukraine First
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
$251K
6mo
First woman UN Secretary-General?
4
6
¢
5
4
¢
Yes
46¢
No
54¢
$230K
6mo
+3.5%
Spd
4¢
Next UN Secretary-General?
Rafael Grossi (Argentina)
2
6
¢
Yes
26¢
No
74¢
Rebeca Grynspan (Costa Rica)
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Michelle Bachelet (Chile)
1
7
¢
Yes
17¢
No
83¢
Macky Sall (Senegal)
1
2
¢
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Someone else
1
2
¢
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
Maria F. Espinosa (Ecuador)
9
¢
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
$175K
6mo
Zelensky-Putin meeting in 2026?
2
0
¢
8
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
$183K
6mo
+4.5%
Spd
4¢
China blockades Taiwan in 2026?
1
1
¢
8
9
¢
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
$179K
6mo
+5.6%
Spd
4¢
Maduro still leads Venezuela end of 2026?
Still in power
7
8
¢
Yes
78¢
No
22¢
Out via deal/exile
9
¢
Yes
9¢
No
91¢
Out via election/transition
7
¢
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
Out another way
6
¢
Yes
6¢
No
94¢
$157K
6mo
Next Trump-Putin summit?
Not in 2026
5
2
¢
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
By Sept 30, 2026
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Oct Dec 2026
2
0
¢
Yes
20¢
No
80¢
$140K
6mo
Brent crude 2026 peak?
Us$95-105
3
8
¢
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Us$105-120
2
8
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
Under US$95
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Above US$120
1
2
¢
Yes
12¢
No
88¢
$131K
6mo
Russia-Ukraine major POW swap by Sept?
6
0
¢
4
0
¢
Yes
60¢
No
40¢
$145K
3mo
+8.4%
Spd
4¢
A G20 leader loses power before 2027?
8
1
¢
1
9
¢
Yes
81¢
No
19¢
$130K
6mo
-21.7%
Spd
4¢
New BRICS members in 2026?
None
4
7
¢
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
Exactly 1
3
1
¢
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
2 Or More
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
$111K
6mo
UN Security Council Iran-war resolution?
2
8
¢
7
2
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
$118K
3mo
-23.4%
Spd
4¢
Ukraine-Russia ceasefire before 2027?
3
3
¢
6
7
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
$101K
6mo
+3.9%
Spd
4¢
Any country joins NATO in 2026?
1
1
¢
8
9
¢
Yes
11¢
No
89¢
$62K
6mo
+32.5%
US-Iran ceasefire before Aug 2026?
4
4
¢
5
6
¢
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
$61K
1mo
+7.3%
NATO adopts a 5% defence pledge?
6
1
¢
3
9
¢
Yes
61¢
No
39¢
$51K
2mo
-8.5%
New Taiwan arms package in 2026?
7
4
¢
2
6
¢
Yes
74¢
No
26¢
$49K
6mo
+9.6%
