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Primaries
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Europe
UK
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Local
Pakistan hosts Champions Trophy 2025 as scheduled?
0
%
1
0
0
%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$434.2K
Closed
Who succeeds Guterres as UN Sec-General?
Eastern European candidate
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
Latin American candidate
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
Asian candidate
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Guterres extended
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Other
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$405.1K
8mo
Canada-India full diplomacy restored by 2025?
1
0
0
%
0
%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$339.0K
Closed
Highest GDP growth among BRICS in 2026?
India
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
China
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Ethiopia
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Uae
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Other
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$338.4K
8mo
UNGA adopts binding AI governance resolution?
2
7
%
7
3
%
Yes
27%
No
73%
$299.1K
8mo
Solomon Islands-China security pact by 2026?
Pact renewed/expanded
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Pact maintained unchanged
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
Pact scaled back
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
Pact terminated
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$289.5K
8mo
Carney wins 2025 Liberal leadership race?
1
0
0
%
0
%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$244.9K
Closed
NATO defense spending exceeds $1.3T in 2026?
6
8
%
3
2
%
Yes
68%
No
32%
$145.1K
8mo
China military exercises within 12nm of Taiwan?
3
3
%
6
7
%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$144.0K
5mo
Global refugees exceed 130M by end of 2026?
6
3
%
3
7
%
Yes
63%
No
37%
$131.5K
8mo
G7 Russia sanctions enforcement body by 2027?
3
2
%
6
8
%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$130.1K
8mo
Iran nuclear negotiations status by Dec 2026?
No active negotiations
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Formal negotiations ongoing
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
Iran withdraws from NPT
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
New agreement reached
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$123.6K
8mo
US-China trade negotiations outcome by 2026?
Talks ongoing, no agreement
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Partial tariff reduction agreed
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
Talks collapse entirely
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
Comprehensive deal signed
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$113.6K
8mo
Ukraine-Russia formal ceasefire before 2027?
2
5
%
7
5
%
Yes
25%
No
75%
$103.3K
8mo
South Korea-Japan defense pact by 2027?
2
6
%
7
4
%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$71.9K
14mo
New BRICS member states admitted in 2026?
1 2 New Members
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
No new admissions
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
3 Or More New Members
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
Organization fractures
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$60.7K
8mo
North Korea tests ICBM before end of 2027?
5
5
%
4
5
%
Yes
55%
No
45%
$49.5K
14mo
India-Pakistan resume trade talks by 2027?
2
5
%
7
5
%
Yes
25%
No
75%
$32.2K
8mo
Global military spending exceeds $2.5T in 2026?
7
3
%
2
7
%
Yes
73%
No
27%
$32.1K
14mo
Pakistan hosts Champions Trophy 2025 as scheduled?
$434.2K
1,678
Closed
Resolves YES if the tournament is hosted in Pakistan on the original 2025 calendar
Yes
0
%
No
1
0
0
%
6h Price History
Trade
Canada-India full diplomacy restored by 2025?
Who succeeds Guterres as UN Sec-General?