Government shutdown before October?

Market trust

94 trustEXCELLENTProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: 94/100
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

Predicts an appropriations lapse over the coming months. Resolves YES if any federal funding gap causes a government shutdown of at least one full day before October 1, 2026. Source: OMB / AP.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 12, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Oct 8, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

Government shutdown before October?

Market trust

About This Market

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Government shutdown before October?

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