2026 generic ballot on Election Day?

Market trust

87 trustEXCELLENTProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: 87/100
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

Outcome

Chance

Trade

About This Market

Predicts the final RealClearPolitics generic congressional ballot margin on November 3, 2026. Resolves to the bucket containing the Democratic-minus-Republican margin. Source: RealClearPolitics average.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 1, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Nov 14, 2026, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

2026 generic ballot on Election Day?

Market trust

About This Market

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2026 generic ballot on Election Day?

Market trust

About This Market

D+8 or more

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D+8 or more