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Reform UK leads national polling near 27%. Resolves YES if any nationally published Westminster voting-intention poll puts Reform UK at 30% or higher before Dec 31, 2026. Source: published UK pollster.
Official announcement or authoritative source
Market open
Jun 5, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Market closes
Jan 8, 2027, 02:26 p.m.
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