75%chance
Tracks whether the President recovers any ground this year. Resolves YES if the RealClearPolitics approval average never reaches 45% on any day in 2026. Source: RealClearPolitics average.
New to this market - what am I missing?
Great analysis in this thread. Thanks everyone.
Interesting market. Watching closely before making a move.
Looking at the data, this could go either way.
This probability seems too optimistic to me.
Just bought more shares. Feeling confident about this outcome.