Manual source - last checked Not checked yet
On whether the April 2026 US-Iran ceasefire survives the summer. Resolves YES if no large-scale US-Iran military exchange has resumed and the ceasefire is still in effect on Sept 1, 2026. Source: AP, Reuters.
Official announcement or authoritative source
Market open
May 26, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Market closes
Sep 9, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Projected payout
After market closes