Manual source - last checked Not checked yet
Predicts a sharper labor-market crack as Iran-war shock filters through. Resolves YES if any weekly DOL initial unemployment claims release before Aug 1, 2026 reports seasonally adjusted initial claims above 275,000. Source: U.S. Department of Labor.
Official announcement or authoritative source
Market open
Jun 3, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Market closes
Aug 8, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Projected payout
After market closes