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Employment
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Global Economy
Stock Market
Interest Rates
Inflation
Employment
Canada Economy
US Economy
Employment
Volume
$551.3K
Traders
1,249
Closes
6mo
US federal payrolls fall in 2026?
Yes
6
9
¢
No
3
1
¢
All-time Price History
YES
-4.2%
Trade
US payrolls negative in any month of 2026?
US unemployment above 4.5% by August?
US federal payrolls fall in 2026?
6
9
¢
3
1
¢
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
$551K
6mo
+17.1%
Spd
4¢
US unemployment above 4.5% by August?
4
4
¢
5
6
¢
Yes
44¢
No
56¢
$376K
2mo
+10.8%
Spd
4¢
US payrolls negative in any month of 2026?
4
0
¢
6
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
$277K
6mo
-12.7%
Spd
4¢
US July payrolls beat consensus?
5
2
¢
4
8
¢
Yes
52¢
No
48¢
$175K
2mo
-2.9%
Spd
4¢
US labor participation above 62.5% in July?
5
7
¢
4
3
¢
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
$160K
2mo
-0.2%
Spd
4¢
US continuing claims top 1.9M by fall?
4
5
¢
5
5
¢
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
$156K
3mo
+10.6%
Spd
4¢
US prime-age employment above 80% in July?
5
7
¢
4
3
¢
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
$127K
2mo
-7.4%
Spd
4¢
US jobless claims top 275K before August?
3
5
¢
6
5
¢
Yes
35¢
No
65¢
$114K
1mo
-2.1%
Average US H2 2026 payroll gain above 125K?
4
5
¢
5
5
¢
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
$102K
7mo
-10.9%
US wage growth above 3% through July?
6
9
¢
3
1
¢
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
$80K
2mo
-16.6%
US tech layoffs top 100K in 2026?
5
8
¢
4
2
¢
Yes
58¢
No
42¢
$77K
6mo
-6.3%
