US payrolls negative in any month of 2026?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

Predicts an outright monthly job loss as recession fears mount. Resolves YES if any BLS monthly Employment Situation report for a 2026 reference month (through the December release) shows a negative nonfarm payroll change. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 13, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Jan 11, 2027, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

US payrolls negative in any month of 2026?

Market trust

About This Market

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US payrolls negative in any month of 2026?

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