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Economics
/
US Economy
All
Global Economy
Stock Market
Interest Rates
Inflation
Employment
Canada Economy
US Economy
US Economy
Volume
$615.4K
Traders
1,998
Closes
3mo
Top risk to the US economy in H2 2026?
Energy / oil prices
33¢
Inflation
24¢
Tariffs / trade war
22¢
Labor market weakness
14¢
Other
7¢
All-time Price History
Tariffs / trade war
+20.0%
Other
+8.8%
Labor market weakness
-28.4%
Energy / oil prices
-1.5%
Inflation
-4.0%
Trade
US Q2 2026 GDP growth negative?
US gas above $4.00/gal on Labor Day?
Top risk to the US economy in H2 2026?
Energy / oil prices
3
3
¢
Yes
33¢
No
67¢
Inflation
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Tariffs / trade war
2
2
¢
Yes
22¢
No
78¢
Labor market weakness
1
4
¢
Yes
14¢
No
86¢
Other
7
¢
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$615K
3mo
US gas above $4.00/gal on Labor Day?
5
1
¢
4
9
¢
Yes
51¢
No
49¢
$453K
3mo
-3.6%
Spd
4¢
US Q2 2026 GDP growth negative?
2
8
¢
7
2
¢
Yes
28¢
No
72¢
$448K
1mo
+20.4%
Spd
4¢
US recession (NBER) called for 2026?
2
3
¢
7
7
¢
Yes
23¢
No
77¢
$428K
6mo
-7.2%
Spd
4¢
US Q2 2026 real GDP growth?
0% To 1.5%
3
8
¢
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Below 0%
3
1
¢
Yes
31¢
No
69¢
1.5% To 3%
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Above 3%
7
¢
Yes
7¢
No
93¢
$181K
1mo
WSJ recession odds top 40% by Q3?
4
7
¢
5
3
¢
Yes
47¢
No
53¢
$177K
3mo
-11.7%
Spd
4¢
US full-year 2026 GDP growth below 1.5%?
4
5
¢
5
5
¢
Yes
45¢
No
55¢
$169K
7mo
-2.5%
Spd
4¢
Another US government shutdown in 2026?
5
9
¢
4
1
¢
Yes
59¢
No
41¢
$166K
6mo
+4.8%
Spd
4¢
US consumer confidence above 100 by Sept?
3
6
¢
6
4
¢
Yes
36¢
No
64¢
$152K
3mo
-18.3%
Spd
4¢
US Q3 2026 GDP growth beats Q2?
5
6
¢
4
4
¢
Yes
56¢
No
44¢
$147K
4mo
-12.8%
Spd
4¢
US savings rate falls below 3% in 2026?
4
0
¢
6
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
$123K
6mo
+11.0%
Spd
4¢
US economy at year-end 2026?
Stagflation (slow growth, high inflation)
3
8
¢
Yes
38¢
No
62¢
Soft landing (growth, cooling inflation)
3
0
¢
Yes
30¢
No
70¢
Recession
2
4
¢
Yes
24¢
No
76¢
Strong expansion
8
¢
Yes
8¢
No
92¢
$102K
6mo
US trade deficit hits a record high in 2026?
4
0
¢
6
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
$102K
6mo
+14.4%
Atlanta Fed GDPNow for Q3 turns negative?
2
5
¢
7
5
¢
Yes
25¢
No
75¢
$99K
4mo
+2.7%
US industrial production contracts in 2026?
4
0
¢
6
0
¢
Yes
40¢
No
60¢
$89K
5mo
+11.2%
US retail sales fall any month this summer?
5
7
¢
4
3
¢
Yes
57¢
No
43¢
$80K
3mo
-17.3%
US national debt tops $38T in 2026?
6
9
¢
3
1
¢
Yes
69¢
No
31¢
$44K
6mo
+28.8%
