Markets

Economics/US Economy

US real GDP growth above 2.5% in Q3 2026?

$455.5K

302

5mo

Annualized real GDP growth rate for Q3 2026. Resolves YES if the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate of Q3 2026 real GDP growth (annualized) exceeds 2.5%. Source: BEA GDP release

6h Price History

US real GDP growth above 2.5% in Q3 2026?

UMich Consumer Sentiment above 75 in H2 2026?

US real GDP growth (annualized) in Q3 2026?

ISM Services PMI above 52 every month Q3 2026?

US real GDP growth (annualized) in Q4 2026?

US retail sales YoY above 5% in H2 2026?

ISM Manufacturing PMI above 52 in H2 2026?

US real PCE grows every month in Q3 2026?

50%

$146.8K

5mo

US FY2026 budget deficit above $2.0T?

Avg US housing starts (SAAR) in H2 2026?

US retail sales MoM negative in Q3 2026?

US housing starts above 1.5M SAAR in H2 2026?

US national debt on Dec 31, 2026?

$38–$38.9 Trillion

35%

$39 Trillion Or Above

Top US GDP growth contributor in H2 2026?

Information / Technology

30%

Finance and Insurance

20%

Other sector

20%

Professional Services

US goods trade deficit for 2026?

$1.2 Trillion Or Above

Case-Shiller home price index YoY, Oct 2026?

US debt above $37T by end of 2026?

US existing home sales (SAAR) avg in H2 2026?

US real GDP growth above 2.5% in Q3 2026?

$455.5K

302

5mo

Annualized real GDP growth rate for Q3 2026. Resolves YES if the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance estimate of Q3 2026 real GDP growth (annualized) exceeds 2.5%. Source: BEA GDP release

6h Price History