Economists put 12-month recession odds near a third amid the oil shock and tariffs. Resolves YES if the NBER dates a US recession beginning in 2026, declared by year-end. Source: NBER.
Market open
Jun 15, 2026, 03:26 p.m.
Market closes
Jan 8, 2027, 02:26 p.m.
Projected payout
After market closes
