Average US H2 2026 payroll gain above 125K?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

About This Market

Predicts hiring momentum in the back half of the year. Resolves YES if the average monthly nonfarm payroll change for July through December 2026 (per BLS reports released through January 2027) exceeds 125,000. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 14, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Jan 16, 2027, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

Average US H2 2026 payroll gain above 125K?

Market trust

About This Market

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Average US H2 2026 payroll gain above 125K?

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