What ends the Hormuz crisis first?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

Trusted creator with 1277 approved markets

Outcome

Chance

Trade

On the first event to restore normal Hormuz shipping. Resolves to the outcome that occurs first. Source: Reuters.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

May 28, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Nov 12, 2026, 02:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes