WSJ recession odds top 40% by Q3?

Market trust

Review trustProviderManual ReviewEvidenceNot Ready

Manual source - last checked Not checked yet

Trust score: In review
Source type: Manual
Provider health: Manual Review
Criteria quality: Warn
Market data quality: Review
Public evidence state: Not Ready
Chart data provenance: Drazill Market Data
Price history freshness: Fresh
Last source check: Not checked yet

Trust methodology

Formula: market-trust-v1.0

Window: Latest market, criteria, provider, and evidence records

Confidence: MEDIUM

Informational only, not trading advice.

- Provider health is market-specific when resolution checks exist and otherwise inferred from configuration.
- Manual-only markets rely on admin review rather than automated source polling.

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About This Market

The April WSJ survey put 12-month US recession probability near 33%. Resolves YES if the average recession probability in the Q3 2026 WSJ Economic Forecasting Survey exceeds 40%. Source: WSJ.

Source

Official announcement or authoritative source

Market open

Jun 2, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Market closes

Sep 23, 2026, 03:26 p.m.

Projected payout

After market closes

WSJ recession odds top 40% by Q3?

Market trust

About This Market

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WSJ recession odds top 40% by Q3?

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